Heat pump or new furnace and AC? For Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp customers

For Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp customers in Kentucky, on the utility's average price, local weather.

Quick answer · updated

As of November 2026, for a typical 1,800 sq ft electrically heated home on Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp electricity rates in Kentucky that needs a new furnace and AC: A heat pump comes out ahead here even with a high quote: about $23,300 less than a new furnace and AC over 15 years at typical prices, and $1,620 a year less to run.

Cite or reuse this answer

MeterWise, "Heat pump vs. electric furnace and AC on Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp rates (KY)", updated 2026-11-10, https://meterwise.app/ky/grayson-rural-electric-coop-corp/heat-pump-vs-furnace/. Data licensed CC BY 4.0. Also as Markdown and JSON.

Electricity

16.1¢/kWh

+15% vs. Kentucky average

Heating fuel

Electric

Most homes here heat with electricity (59%)

Climate

4,852

heating degree days · Charley 2 Sw

Rebates

Not checked

not yet researched in Kentucky

Our estimate for this home

A heat pump comes out ahead

A heat pump comes out ahead here even with a high quote: about $23,300 less than a new furnace and AC over 15 years at typical prices, and $1,620 a year less to run.

New electric furnace + new AC

Installed
$10,300$7,400–$13,300
Energy per year
$2,500Baseline
15-year total
$47,800
Payback
Baseline

Heat pump (replaces both)

Lowest 15-year cost

Installed
$11,300$7,800–$14,700
Energy per year
$890Saves $1,620/yr
15-year total
$24,600
Payback
0.6 years

High-efficiency cold-climate heat pump

Installed
$14,700$10,800–$19,600
Energy per year
$700Saves $1,800/yr
15-year total
$25,300
Payback
2.5 years

Total cost over 15 years

Installed cost plus energy, year by year. Hover or tap the chart to compare.

$0$20K$40K$60KInstallYear 5Year 10Year 15 Pays back in year 1 New AC $47,800 High-efficiency HP $25,300 Heat pump $24,600
  • New electric furnace + new AC
  • Heat pump (replaces both)
  • High-efficiency cold-climate heat pump
Show as a table
OptionInstalled cost (typical, range, after rebates)Energy cost per year15-year totalPayback vs. like-for-like
New electric furnace + new AC $10,300
$7,400–$13,300
$2,500
$47,800 Baseline
Heat pump (replaces both) Lowest 15-year cost $11,300
$7,800–$14,700
$890
saves $1,620/yr
$24,600 0.6 years
High-efficiency cold-climate heat pump $14,700
$10,800–$19,600
$700
saves $1,800/yr
$25,300 2.5 years

What this is based on

  • Electricity: Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp's average residential price in KY (EIA), $0.161/kWh; the winter price of extra kWh is estimated at $0.178/kWh. Enter your own rate for a closer answer.
  • Weather: Charley 2 Sw (4,852 heating and 875 cooling degree days a year, 1991-2020).
  • Heating fuel prices (EIA): gas $1.40/therm (Kentucky, average of the last five winter months); propane $2.81/gallon (Kentucky average this heating season); heating oil $5.87/gallon (Kentucky average this heating season).
  • Homes in Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp's Kentucky area heat with electricity 59%, propane 16%, gas 16% (U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023). The calculator starts with electricity; pick yours above.
  • Kentucky HVAC installer wages are 4% below the U.S. median (BLS), so installed prices are scaled by 0.98.
  • Energy use for heating and cooling:
    • New electric furnace + new AC: 14,399 kWh a year for heating and cooling
    • Heat pump (replaces both): 5,123 kWh a year for heating and cooling
    • High-efficiency cold-climate heat pump: 4,072 kWh a year for heating and cooling

Rebates

  • We haven't checked heat pump rebates in Kentucky yet, so these numbers leave them out. Utility and state programs can take thousands off a heat pump: ask Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp and your contractor what's available. Each dollar of rebate adds a dollar to the quote gap a heat pump can carry.

What to know about the Kentucky numbers

How Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp's rates change the answer

Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp's electricity price for a typical home is 15% above the Kentucky average ($0.161 vs. $0.140 per kWh). A heat pump moves your heating from gas, propane or oil to electricity, so the electricity price is the biggest single factor: calculators that use a state average can get the answer wrong for your utility. At these prices, a heat pump is cheaper to run than an electric furnace for a typical home here.

Common questions

Is a heat pump worth it for Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp customers?

A heat pump comes out ahead here even with a high quote: about $23,300 less than a new furnace and AC over 15 years at typical prices, and $1,620 a year less to run. This is for a typical 1,800 sq ft home with average insulation that heats with electricity and needs both a new furnace and AC; change the details in the calculator above for your home.

How much does a heat pump cost to run on Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp's rates?

About $890 a year for heating and cooling with a heat pump (5,123 kWh), compared with about $2,500 a year for a new furnace and AC, for a typical 1,800 sq ft home with weather like Charley 2 Sw's.

How much does a heat pump cost to install in Kentucky?

Our typical installed price for a heat pump in Kentucky is about $11,270 (range $7,840 to $14,700), against about $10,290 for a new furnace and AC. Prices are published study ranges scaled for home size and Kentucky installer wages; rebates in Kentucky have not been checked yet, so they are not included. Always compare real quotes.

What electricity price does this use?

Electricity: Grayson Rural Electric Coop Corp's average residential price in KY (EIA), $0.161/kWh; the winter price of extra kWh is estimated at $0.178/kWh. Enter your own rate for a closer answer.

How we calculate this

Heating and cooling need

Your home's yearly heating and cooling need comes from 1991-2020 NOAA climate normals for the nearest weather station, scaled by floor area and insulation level. If you know last winter's gas use, compare it with the therms in the energy-use list above.

Heating fuels

Choose the fuel your furnace burns: gas, propane, heating oil or electricity. Gas uses the state's average residential price over the last five winter months; propane and heating oil use the U.S. Energy Information Administration's weekly residential prices for this heating season (state, regional or U.S. average, as available), converted by heat content (91,500 Btu per gallon of propane, 138,500 per gallon of oil). An electric furnace is priced through the same electricity rates as the heat pump. The starting fuel is the most common furnace fuel in the utility's area (U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey).

Equipment efficiency

New gas or propane furnace 95% AFUE, new oil furnace 85%, electric furnace 100%; new AC SEER2 13.4; standard heat pump SEER2 15.2 / HSPF2 7.8; high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump SEER2 21.5 / HSPF2 10.6. Heat pump efficiency falls as it gets colder, and in cold months part of the heat comes from backup electric strips (or your old furnace, if you keep it). Existing equipment is assumed to be 15-20 years old: an 80% gas or propane furnace, a 78% oil furnace or a SEER2 9.5 AC.

Installed costs

Installed prices vary a lot, so we show a typical price and a range for a home of about 1,800 sq ft with existing ductwork, scaled for larger or smaller homes: furnace and AC together $9,000–$14,000; furnace alone $3,800–$7,000; AC alone $4,500–$9,000; standard heat pump $8,000–$15,000; high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump $11,000–$20,000; electrical panel upgrade, if needed, $1,500–$4,000. These are national figures drawn from published studies and program data (NESCAUM / Energy Solutions, Heat Pumps in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic: Costs and Market Trends (October 2024); Rewiring America, Upfront cost of home electrification (March 2024); EIA, Updated Buildings Sector Appliance and Equipment Costs and Efficiencies (2023)). The most useful number here is how much more a heat pump can cost than a like-for-like quote and still come out ahead: get quotes for both and compare.

Labor and rebates

Half of each installed price is treated as labor and scaled by the state's median HVAC installer wage relative to the U.S. median (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics). Listed rebates are subtracted when the box is ticked; per-ton rebates assume about one ton of capacity per 600 sq ft. Rebates change often and have eligibility rules, so confirm with the program before you buy.

Not included

Financing, maintenance (similar for all options), local town rebates, and changes in energy prices over time.