Heat pump or new furnace and AC? For Central Maine Power customers

For Central Maine Power customers in Maine, on the utility's current tariff, local weather.

Quick answer · updated

As of November 2026, for a typical 1,800 sq ft heating oil-heated home on Central Maine Power electricity rates in Maine that needs a new furnace and AC: A high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump comes out ahead here even with a high quote: about $28,900 less than a new furnace and AC over 15 years at typical prices, and $2,030 a year less to run.

Cite or reuse this answer

MeterWise, "Heat pump vs. oil furnace and AC on Central Maine Power rates (ME)", updated 2026-11-10, https://meterwise.app/me/central-maine-power/heat-pump-vs-furnace/. Data licensed CC BY 4.0. Also as Markdown and JSON.

Electricity

28.7¢/kWh

About the state average

Heating fuel

$6.00/gallon

Heating oil: 57% of homes here

Climate

6,795

heating degree days · Portland Jetport HCN 72606

Rebates

Not checked

not yet researched in Maine

Our estimate for this home

A high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump comes out ahead

A high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump comes out ahead here even with a high quote: about $28,900 less than a new furnace and AC over 15 years at typical prices, and $2,030 a year less to run.

New oil furnace + new AC

Installed
$13,700$9,400–$16,900
Energy per year
$3,470Baseline
15-year total
$65,800
Payback
Baseline

Heat pump (replaces both)

Installed
$11,700$8,100–$15,300
Energy per year
$1,950Saves $1,520/yr
15-year total
$41,000
Payback
Cheaper up front and to run

High-efficiency cold-climate heat pump

Lowest 15-year cost

Installed
$15,300$11,200–$20,400
Energy per year
$1,440Saves $2,030/yr
15-year total
$36,900
Payback
0.8 years

Total cost over 15 years

Installed cost plus energy, year by year. Hover or tap the chart to compare.

$0$20K$40K$60K$80KInstallYear 5Year 10Year 15 Pays back in year 1 New AC $65,800 Heat pump $41,000 High-efficiency HP $36,900
  • New oil furnace + new AC
  • Heat pump (replaces both)
  • High-efficiency cold-climate heat pump
Show as a table
OptionInstalled cost (typical, range, after rebates)Energy cost per year15-year totalPayback vs. like-for-like
New oil furnace + new AC $13,700
$9,400–$16,900
$3,470
$65,800 Baseline
Heat pump (replaces both) $11,700
$8,100–$15,300
$1,950
saves $1,520/yr
$41,000 Cheaper up front and to run
High-efficiency cold-climate heat pump Lowest 15-year cost $15,300
$11,200–$20,400
$1,440
saves $2,030/yr
$36,900 0.8 years

What this is based on

  • Electricity: A Residential Standard Offer Service (Bundled) tariff for Central Maine Power, effective 2026-01-01, from the U.S. Utility Rate Database, applied tier by tier to the extra kWh.
  • Weather: Portland Jetport HCN 72606 (6,795 heating and 446 cooling degree days a year, 1991-2020).
  • Heating fuel prices (EIA): gas $1.74/therm (Maine, average of the last five winter months); propane $3.62/gallon (Maine average this heating season); heating oil $6.00/gallon (Maine average this heating season).
  • Homes in Central Maine Power's Maine area heat with heating oil 57%, propane 14%, electricity 10%, gas 9% (U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023). The calculator starts with heating oil, the most common furnace fuel here; pick yours above.
  • Maine HVAC installer wages are 4% above the U.S. median (BLS), so installed prices are scaled by 1.02.
  • Energy use for heating and cooling:
    • New oil furnace + new AC: 1,254 kWh and 524 gallons of heating oil a year for heating and cooling
    • Heat pump (replaces both): 7,407 kWh a year for heating and cooling
    • High-efficiency cold-climate heat pump: 5,473 kWh a year for heating and cooling

Rebates

  • We haven't checked heat pump rebates in Maine yet, so these numbers leave them out. Utility and state programs can take thousands off a heat pump: ask Central Maine Power and your contractor what's available. Each dollar of rebate adds a dollar to the quote gap a heat pump can carry.

What to know about the Maine numbers

How Central Maine Power's rates change the answer

Central Maine Power's electricity price for a typical home is close to the Maine average ($0.287 vs. $0.296 per kWh). A heat pump moves your heating from gas, propane or oil to electricity, so the electricity price is the biggest single factor: calculators that use a state average can get the answer wrong for your utility. At these prices, a heat pump is cheaper to run than heating oil heat for a typical home here.

Common questions

Is a heat pump worth it for Central Maine Power customers?

A high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump comes out ahead here even with a high quote: about $28,900 less than a new furnace and AC over 15 years at typical prices, and $2,030 a year less to run. This is for a typical 1,800 sq ft home with average insulation that heats with heating oil and needs both a new furnace and AC; change the details in the calculator above for your home.

How much does a heat pump cost to run on Central Maine Power's rates?

About $1,440 a year for heating and cooling with a high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump (5,473 kWh), compared with about $3,470 a year for a new furnace and AC, for a typical 1,800 sq ft home with weather like Portland Jetport HCN's.

How much does a heat pump cost to install in Maine?

Our typical installed price for a high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump in Maine is about $15,270 (range $11,198 to $20,360), against about $13,743 for a new furnace and AC. Prices are published study ranges scaled for home size and Maine installer wages; rebates in Maine have not been checked yet, so they are not included. Always compare real quotes.

What electricity price does this use?

Electricity: A Residential Standard Offer Service (Bundled) tariff for Central Maine Power, effective 2026-01-01, from the U.S. Utility Rate Database, applied tier by tier to the extra kWh.

How we calculate this

Heating and cooling need

Your home's yearly heating and cooling need comes from 1991-2020 NOAA climate normals for the nearest weather station, scaled by floor area and insulation level. If you know last winter's gas use, compare it with the therms in the energy-use list above.

Heating fuels

Choose the fuel your furnace burns: gas, propane, heating oil or electricity. Gas uses the state's average residential price over the last five winter months; propane and heating oil use the U.S. Energy Information Administration's weekly residential prices for this heating season (state, regional or U.S. average, as available), converted by heat content (91,500 Btu per gallon of propane, 138,500 per gallon of oil). An electric furnace is priced through the same electricity rates as the heat pump. The starting fuel is the most common furnace fuel in the utility's area (U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey).

Equipment efficiency

New gas or propane furnace 95% AFUE, new oil furnace 85%, electric furnace 100%; new AC SEER2 13.4; standard heat pump SEER2 15.2 / HSPF2 7.8; high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump SEER2 21.5 / HSPF2 10.6. Heat pump efficiency falls as it gets colder, and in cold months part of the heat comes from backup electric strips (or your old furnace, if you keep it). Existing equipment is assumed to be 15-20 years old: an 80% gas or propane furnace, a 78% oil furnace or a SEER2 9.5 AC.

Installed costs

Installed prices vary a lot, so we show a typical price and a range for a home of about 1,800 sq ft with existing ductwork, scaled for larger or smaller homes: furnace and AC together $9,000–$14,000; furnace alone $3,800–$7,000; AC alone $4,500–$9,000; standard heat pump $8,000–$15,000; high-efficiency cold-climate heat pump $11,000–$20,000; electrical panel upgrade, if needed, $1,500–$4,000. These are national figures drawn from published studies and program data (NESCAUM / Energy Solutions, Heat Pumps in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic: Costs and Market Trends (October 2024); Rewiring America, Upfront cost of home electrification (March 2024); EIA, Updated Buildings Sector Appliance and Equipment Costs and Efficiencies (2023)). The most useful number here is how much more a heat pump can cost than a like-for-like quote and still come out ahead: get quotes for both and compare.

Labor and rebates

Half of each installed price is treated as labor and scaled by the state's median HVAC installer wage relative to the U.S. median (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics). Listed rebates are subtracted when the box is ticked; per-ton rebates assume about one ton of capacity per 600 sq ft. Rebates change often and have eligibility rules, so confirm with the program before you buy.

Not included

Financing, maintenance (similar for all options), local town rebates, and changes in energy prices over time.